Hispanic Voters Could Have a Big Impact on the 2016 Election

A recent report from Pew Research Center reveals there will be a record number of Hispanics eligible to vote in the 2016 election.

There will be approximately 27 million eligible U.S. Hispanic voters this year, an increase of 17% from 2012 when there were just over 23 million eligible U.S. Hispanic voters.

According to the Pew Research Center report, Millennials Make Up Almost Half of Latino Eligible Voters in 2016, there are a couple key reasons for this rapid growth:

  • 3.2 million U.S. citizen Latinos reached voting age since the last election
  • 1.2 million Hispanic immigrants have become legal U.S. citizens since 2012

Here are a handful of other notable statistics on the Hispanic voter base in 2016:

  • The Latino electorate is projected to make up a record 11.9% of all U.S. eligible voters in 2016
  • 44% of the 27.3 million eligible Hispanic voters are millennials (defined as individuals born in 1981 or later)
  • 19 is the median age among the nation’s 35 million U.S.-born Latinos
  • This group is made up of more millennials than any other racial or ethnic group of voters
  • In 2012, a record 11.2 million Hispanics voted (up from a record 9.7 million in 2008)

How Will Hispanic Voters Influence the 2016 Election?

The increase in eligible Hispanic voters over the past four years will contribute to what Pew Research Center calls “the most diverse electorate in U.S. history” as “nearly one-in-three eligible voters on Election Day (31%) will be Hispanic, black, Asian or another racial or ethnic minority, up from 29% in 2012.”

All this goes that say that, with a larger voter base, the Hispanic vote could have a big impact on election results in November.

However, the Pew report suggests turnout could potentially be lower than expected because so much of the Hispanic voter base is made up of millennials. They note: “In 2012, just 37.8% of Latino millennials voted, compared with 53.9% among non-millennial Latinos.”

On the other hand, this USA Today article discussing the Pew findings makes an important counterpoint: “What the report can’t gauge, however, is whether the Hispanic community will be more energized and organized due to the central role immigration is playing on the campaign trail.”